Sunday, August 31, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #11

 Bringing consensus elements into community organizing

While an adversarial community organizing model has been highly effective in many cases, from Saul Alinsky's model developed in Chicago neighborhoods, it is not the sort of relational sustainable development that tends to avoid more destructive conflicts. 

The Consensus Community Organizing Center[1], founded in 1999 at San Diego State University, introduced another model of teaching and practicing community organizing that was based on developing opportunities for all stakeholders based on mutual gain, which is, of course on the four pillars of principled negotiation. In some ways, it mimicked core components of how Gandhi, MLK, and Cesar Chavez organized--never seeking to crush anyone, always regarding relationships as key--but the method that is the basis of a school of teaching and practicing at the CCOC eschews civil disobedience, not by condemning it or devaluing it, but by focusing on initiatives that will not likely ever be dependent on offering civil resistance. 

Having noted that, it is often the case that nonviolent civil resistance can be rendered unnecessary by working to develop alternatives that serve the self-interest of the stakeholders, even when they seem to be opposed to each other. Founder Michael Eichler did this in several community organizing projects, the result of which was to "bake a bigger pie," that is, to find new resources to support the enhancement of multiple stakeholders.

This model can be far more successful than the assumption that "they" are the bad guys bent on being unfair to "us." It may tend to have some limits, which only means it's one approach to consider, not a one-method-in-all-situations: 

·       If there have been actual atrocities, it may be substantially harder to introduce a model that seeks to serve all parties' self-interests.

·       When the issues are highly polarized and girded by deeply morally conflicting ideologies, finding middle ground may be impossible (e.g., impossible to serve the interests of committed racists determined to squash aspirations of minority communities).

Nonetheless, aspects of consensus organizing can make the launch of a nonviolent civil resistance campaign more likely to succeed with far fewer damages--more gain, less pain. Gandhi did that with the British, to the point where British working class people tended to support him, a remarkable gain. Dr. King devoted great effort to healing and improving relationships amongst the Southern clergy who often opposed him--his Letter from Birmingham Jail[2] is a master class in exactly this. Cesar Chavez showed respect for the owners of the fields where they exploited migrant laborers even as he held them to the same high standard of human comportment that he practiced. 

African American historian Mary Frances Berry has written about utilizing the "inside game" of political work, which one might roughly equate with consensus organizing, and, when required, the "outside game" of nonviolent civil resistance when the inside game was blocked, stalled, or too slow.

In the end, though there are many paths to victory in any campaign to change, abolish, or defend a policy of a government, corporation, or institution, it is wise to always consider every option except violence. It is unhelpful to disregard any nonviolent method, as all have something to offer in any given moment.



[1] https://consensus.sdsu.edu/

[2] https://oll.libertyfund.org/publications/reading-room/2023-01-16-letter-from-a-birmingham-jail

Saturday, August 30, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #10

Size matters

If Scotland were a recognized nation-state--which they would be had their vote for sovereignty not failed--they would be a much smaller nation than the big ones--India, China, the US, and 119 more[1] that would have a larger population than Scotland. Research into the potential for consensus being a key element in the "Scottish Approach" suggests that it may someday live up to the dearly held myths of an ancient Scottish governance practice that was far more participatory than merely voting in elections (Cairney, 2015). The researcher seems to suggest that time to begin such a "devolution" would ideally be when few truly hard choices over perduring problems would make consensus likely fail and be discarded, with a reversion to a more command-and-control model. 

This raises the idea that, in the context of national politics, the size of the overall population might generally tend to be more or less amenable to a consensus approach, with the relational strengths of smaller nations lending advantage to attempting to introduce a consensus approach at the national level. If that is true, it seems logical that a much more local level would test out more strongly in any initiative to introduce a consensus model. 

It might also suggest that, given the modifications made to consensus by larger international bodies, there are lessons from many places about the likelihood of success, depending in part on the alterations attempted and deemed acceptable. 

While consensus isn't necessary one of the means of governance of highly democratic nations, it is interesting that countries that Democracy Matrix[2] ranks as "Deficient democracies," (including the US, Liberia, Poland, Panama and others) likely have few, if any, structures of consensus at national, state/province, or local levels). As the rankings get into autocracy (e.g., China, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, North Korea and more), one might predict fewer instances of attempts to practice consensus at any level.

Indeed, what is the relationship of consensus to democracy? When democracy is defined as "majority rule," that, in itself, can be a serious deficiency, as it says nothing about minority rights--the hallmark of the strongest democracies. Any permutation of consensus would likely tend to enfold minority rights much more vigorously than mere majority rule, making it very likely that, to the extent consensus is embedded in layers of governance, that democracy is of a higher caliber. 

References

Cairney, P. (2015). Scotland’s Future Political System. Political Quarterly, 86(2), 217–225. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1111/1467-923X.12154



[1] https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/

[2] https://www.democracymatrix.com/ranking

Friday, August 29, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #9

 The art of the possible: Politicians and engineers

Imagine a rail system that, in one country, uses a set gauge of track. The neighboring country to the east decides to use a different gauge of track, effectively making significant trade between the countries impossible. Can units of government agree not to hobble themselves in this way? How can consensus be achieved with the competing factors of replacement cost, fear of invasion, philosophical belief in either laissez faire rights of private railroads to do what they want or absolute sovereignty of countries or even states within countries? This set of confounding components, for example, even kept India[1] from managing its internal gauge break issues into the 21st century.

Whether it's a rail gauge break problem, a water flow issue from an upstream country to a downstream country or any number of other critical infrastructure challenges, practitioners and researchers work to develop methods of achieving cross-cultural consensus, including all stakeholders, many with very different priorities (Wang, Liu, Pan & Li, 2025).

References

Wang, T., Liu, J., Pan, Y., & Li, H. (2025). Antecedents to Moving Forward: Impact of Multiple Stakeholder Relationship Networks on Operational Resilience in Cross-Border Critical Infrastructure Systems. Journal of Management in Engineering, 41(5), 1–14. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1061/JMENEA.MEENG-6546



[1] https://creativematter.skidmore.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1011&context=hist_stu_schol

Monday, August 25, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #8

 Who is at the table? Taking it to the international feast and famine

When we consider bargaining across cultures and even across national boundaries, what does research help us understand? What are the best negotiating methods?

University of Mississippi political scientist Lauren Ferry (2023) examined cases of creditor-borrower negotiations in which the borrower sought debt restructuring and found that borrower nations chose different modes depending on which creditor nation or nations were part of the process. 

Ferry found that more complex negotiations between multiple creditor nations led to a focus on the creditor nation or nations least likely to agree to more expansive terms. That is due to the accepted norm of consensus, meaning that the creditor nation least prepared to agree to more lenient terms was the linchpin, thus usually tending to make that nation the focus of the debtor nation's negotiating strategy.

In the end, Ferry's research into publicity about and outcomes from such restructuring processes between 1980-2009, showed that the aggregate number of creditor nations at the table is related to tactics and strategies by debtor nations. When the number needed for consensus increases, the bolder and riskier the borrower nation's coercive methods become, all with the aim of bringing the most reluctant creditor nation into some form of agreement. 

These negotiations are cross cultural by definition. The findings can help us weigh best practices--can we reduce the number of parties at the table without exposing the outcome to spoiler attacks? Can we modify a default consensus expectation to mitigate a radical reaction tendency? 

While a truly transnational culture of diplomacy and negotiation practices is an ideal, bearing in mind what tendencies are proven to exist can make such complex negotiations more likely to bear fruit and less likely to feature hostile force of various sorts. 

References

Ferry, L. (2023). Getting to yes: The role of creditor coordination in debt restructuring negotiations. International Interactions, 49(1), 31–58. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1080/03050629.2023.2156996

Sunday, August 24, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #7

 Global consensus vs local conflict

There are many topics that many claim to have achieved global consensus: human rights, ban on chlorofluorocarbons, outlawing slavery, fighting global climate chaos, and many more, including sustainable development.

But is there actual consensus? If the appearance of consensus exists, how was it achieved? Is there undue influence by monied parties exerting economic pressure, militarily dominant nations or coalitions effectively forcing "agreement" or other inauthentic consensus practices? Was some of the consensus achieved by relatively small numbers of powerful parties long ago and challenges are increasing due to the objections of those parties not consulted or otherwise shut aside in the name of declaring universal acceptance? Consensus decision-making timelines are often quite different from majority-rule or top-down methods, and thus there are also questions about the time devoted to achieving the claim of consensus being adequate or not.

This critique of claim of consensus will either be acknowledged and revisited with inclusivity and an improved process or destructive conflict may emerge, as it has in several cases, including a declaration of human rights by Muslim-majority countries that means to supplant the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. It is also emerging in the assertion of consensus around sustainable development as a function of local values and practices (Leach, Mearns & Scoones, 2025).

References

Leach, M., Mearns, R., & Scoones, I. (2025). Editorial: Community-Based Sustainable Development: Consensus or Conflict? IDS Bulletin, 56(1A), 1–3. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.19088/1968-2025.104

Saturday, August 23, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #6

 Saul Alinsky's rules vs consensus organizing

Conflict organizing does build consensus, but within a group that initially shares the interest of eliminating a specific grievance. Consensus organizing attempts to enlarge that consensus by working with the theory we learn about in Getting to Yes: digging deeply toward identifying the interests of all parties. Where there is overlap, and where the net result can be a win for all parties in some form, consensus organizing is more sustainable than the zero-sum approach of Alinsky's general model of conflict organizing, as effective as that is. 

The consensus organizing model overlaps conflict organizing quite a bit at certain stages. For example, if a goal identified by the community (not one assumed by the organizers) ultimately is at complete odds with those who decide policy--a government, a corporation, or an institution--then the methods of conflict organizing are identical to consensus organizing--quite adversarial. But the consensus organizing model is far better at openly exploring possibilities for win-win outcomes than the Alinsky model, in general.

Friday, August 22, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #5

 What about consensus in massive complex government projects?

In complex government projects some innovative consensus methods have helped to reduce non-expert but fully stakeholder conflict with experts by a modified consensus approach that seeks the basic elements of consensus but in a streamlined fashion to reduce the high costs of a longer, classical consensus process. This may not only reduce costs and timelines on the front end, but may very well reduce subsequent resistance and slowdowns from the classical command-and-control approach.

"In this way, collective intelligence across different subgroups of society can be leveraged simultaneously, involving experts and non-experts, called heterogeneous decision-makers in this study" (Singh, Baranwal & Tripathi, 2023, p. 3936).

Researchers into consensus processes, including large organization efforts to achieve a version of consensus in complex policy or project initiatives now incorporate more complex variables into their analysis, including the amount of historical knowledge the moderators or facilitators have about their participants, the ultimate decision-makers, which can make this research more accurate and thus more usable (Liang, Qu & Dai, 2024).

Another permutation of consensus development is the Delphi process in which a large diverse group of experts (by both profession and germane lived experience) meet to develop points in a plan to effectuate some desired change, and successive rounds of polling and explainers gradually generate a prioritized plan acceptable to virtually all (Ahmed, et al., 2025). This has potential to involve geographically dispersed, very differently qualified experts in a large collective decision-making and plan creation. In the research cited by Ahmed and colleagues, the presenting problem was a data-driven conclusion that health care inequities across the UK were not diminishing, and in fact were worsening. Some 76 experts--medical professionals at virtually all levels, victims of health care inequities, researchers, and officials--participating in this Delphi consensus process reached consensus after several rounds of surveys and consideration of reports from each round over two years. This robust process holds strong promise for wiser decisions around addressing persistent public problems.

References

Ahmed, F., Woodhead, C., Hossaini, A., Stanley, N., Ensum, L., Rhead, R., Onwumere, J., Mir, G., Dyer, J., & Hatch, S. L. (2025). Guiding principles for accelerating change through health inequities research and practice: A modified Delphi consensus process. PLoS ONE, 20(7), 1–15. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1371/journal.pone.0327552

Liang, H., Qu, S., & Dai, Z. (2024). Robust maximum fairness consensus models with aggregation operator based on data-driven method. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 47(1/2), 111–129. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.3233/JIFS-237153

Singh, M., Baranwal, G., & Tripathi, A. K. (2023). A novel 2-phase consensus with customized feedback based group decision-making involving heterogeneous decision-makers. Journal of Supercomputing, 79(4), 3936–3973. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1007/s11227-022-04796-7

Thursday, August 21, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #4

 Striving for consensus: when the work is a burden

Whether the decision under consideration is one of public policy, institutional policy, or corporate policy, the traps that doom consensus are only avoided when two things happen. 

1. Facilitation is skilled. 

2. Those included in the process have honest and beneficial intentions. 

So, for example, when the actual effort is being put forth to use a robust consensus process, that implies that the time has been set aside to pursue it properly. This hearkens back to an original decision made by the person or small group of people to actually engage in a consensus process. 

Overuse of this can lead to frustrated groups who rush things. When an executive decision can get something accomplished in a relatively minor question, but people are put through a rigorous process of seemingly endless discussion and debate over minor issues, consensus begins to look like a chore and a waste of time. A balanced approach, with all minor decisions simply made by the person tasked with that authority, and a serious consensus process undertaken only in the truly weighty decisions, gives consensus its proper role. 

Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #3

 Your group is multicultural, including some from marginalized groups

Even if you are not engaging in a formalized consensus-based decision-making process, a partial consensus process can help reduce the inequalities that marginalized members feel and, in their reticence to participate, participate in some ways in perpetuating that marginalization. One study of this intersection of phenomena revealed by post-process discussion to be perceived by all as a helpful tactic. In this particular case a professor noticed that some students participated far more and some not at all--including some who were likely self-censoring out of caution of being silenced by others. The professor simply wrote a name on the board when a student raised a hand and wrote the next name underneath when a different student raised a hand. Students quickly began to enforce a no-talking-out-of-turn process and later told the professor they liked that process very much. It's not pure consensus (the professor is still responsible for the process) but it gave far more agency to students and felt much more empowering to them as they later expressed (Johnson, 2023).

References

Johnson, S. (2023). From freeforall (freeforsome?) to speakers’ list: Using consensusbased decisionmaking practice to enhance student participation in the theological classroom. Teaching Theology & Religion, 26(4), 129–134. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1111/teth.12650

Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #2

 Consensus vs hierarchy

Virtually all forms of decision-making tend to favor a hierarchical organizational structure except for consensus. Ah, one might say, so consensus is anarchy! No hierarchy!

Well, if so, it is the most solid, informed, deliberate form of anarchy imaginable. And, in many cases, like some situations of anarchy, it's only briefly anarchical before returning to some form of hierarchy. 

But when a group commits to making a particular decision using consensus, the hierarchy is flattened. Positions with titles--President, Chief Operating Officer, Grand Poobah--are all checked at the door, as are all intelligence-gathering for purposes of revenge. No disagreements that flare up in a consensus process may be used for later punitive purposes. 

In short, willingness to engage in a real consensus process involves trust. Any violation of that trust may doom future use of consensus, and that is crucial for the facilitator to emphasize. 

It is not a coincidence that many feminist-value groups use consensus, as they usually feature a nurturing, flatter hierarchy than typical command-and-control organizations. This is partially why consensus is a natural component of a conflict transformation practice (or degree program).

Monday, August 18, 2025

Consensus: group decision-making & community organizing #1

What is consensus decision-making?

The best little handbook helping us learn consensus decision-making is Consensus through conversation: How to achieve high-commitment decisions by Larry Dressler (2006). He defines consensus as, "Consensus is a coöperative process in which all group members develop and agree to support a decision that is in the best interest of the whole" (p. 4). 

Consensus decision-making is not perfect for all decisions. It takes time and time priorities for low-impact decisions often preclude a laborious consensus process. But when stakes are high, consensus can be well worth the investment of time taken to arrive at the wisest course of action. 

As an example, as a result of the outbreak of covid-19 the European Union health experts undertook a complex and time-consuming consensus process to develop an on-the-shelf plan for public health emergencies preparedness, response, and recovery (PHEPR). Public health experts from across the EU eventually reached consensus on developing checklists for the EU to be ready for a wide range of possible public health emergencies (Kagma, et al., 2025). High stakes deserve the time and the gathered expertise that true consensus can, and should, deliver.

What to have for dinner shouldn't take more than a bit of conversation unless it's a high stakes event. The host can make a command-and-control decision without a great deal of risk. Knowing the difference can tailor the process appropriately.

References

Dressler, Larry (2006). Consensus through conversation: How to achieve high-commitment decisions. San Francisco, CA: Berrett-Koehler.

Kamga, L. S. K., Voordouw, A. C. G., De Vries, M. C., Koopmans, M. P. G., & Timen, A. (2025). Which sectors should be involved in public health emergency preparedness, response, and recovery decision-making? A RAND-modified consensus procedure among European Union country experts. BMC Public Health, 25(1), 1–11. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1186/s12889-025-23557-8

Saturday, July 19, 2025

Countering the bizarre world of Trump: Constructive coercion: Nonviolence and momentum

Some people consider nonviolence to be pacifism. That, of course, misses the historical reality of nonviolent victories. Masses of Serbs caravaned to the capital, Belgrade, in October of 2000 to overthrow the dictator, Slobodan Milosevic. Film of that day shows the huge crowd massed up around the Parliament building and the movement leadership exhorted the crowd to remain nonviolent, which they did--and they won. The police and military abandoned their enforcement actions and stepped to the side of the people. Milosevic was done. 

Serb society was not previously known for its nonviolent civil society campaigns; indeed, it was the opposite, with a robust vendetta culture that kept hate and grudges alive quite literally for centuries and was still in the throes of many levels of violence[1]in Kosovo, the horrific massacre at Srebrenica, and the relentless slaughter in Bosnia and Herzegovina and more. But the 2000 revolution, led by college students, was 100 percent nonviolent and a reasonable observer of that region would estimate the percent of pacifists in the huge crowd on the day of deposing the dictator to be shy of one percent. 

Many view nonviolence as a pipedream that only privileged classes can practice. They argue that calling for nonviolent conduct is arrogant elitism. That is an ahistorical assertion when we think about the early nonviolent victories and the decades of them--e.g., India's liberation from the British in the 1940s, decolonization in Zambia, Ghana, and Tanzania in the 1950s and early 1960s, the US civil rights victories in the Deep South from the mid-1950s to mid-1960s, the defense of democracy and stopping a civil war in 1986 in the Philippines, the successful end to apartheid in South Africa in the late 1980s, the complete victory for the Anishinaabe treaty rights in the same period, and then we reflect on the truth--that each of these victories were achieved by people of color, and that mass nonviolent civil society power was created by people of color for the most part, in resistance to white oppressors. Nonviolence is the most gain with the least pain[2], used by wise resisters who understand that the best way to both advance a social agenda and keep people as safe as possible is clearly the use of nonviolent methods of struggle. In truth, throwing a soda can at a cop and then not being shot dead is an act of supreme privilege that people of color know they do not likely have.



[1] https://www.britannica.com/event/Bosnian-War

[2] https://www.youtube.com/live/QoeYypa007E

Friday, July 18, 2025

Countering the bizarre world of Trump: Deëscalation in order to escalate the struggle

The gold standard method of deëscalation used by unarmed civilian protection teams around the world is the CLARA[1]method. This acronym breaks down into Calm, Listen, Affirm, Respond, and Add information.

How is this germane to managing Trump, to managing his Make America Great Again MAGA followers, many of whom are violent? How can a deëscalation method be used to reduce the harms from Trump's ICE, his Homeland Security officials such as Kristi Noem, notoriously noteworthy for having shot her young dog because it didn't respond to her training as she wished?

On an individual basis, the CLARA method, while not a guarantee of success every time (nothing is), is recognized by those working to protect civilians in hot conflict zones as the most likely to succeed. Just as a Gazan who wished to survive does not scream or even argue with an Israeli Defense Force member, dealing with an ICE agent in the US is best done with some finesse, not hurling epithets or even making accusations based on a legal or moral argument.

In the literature on civil resistance we find a key to dismantling Trump's bizarre grip on America: security defections based on loyalty shifts (Chenoweth & Stephan, 2011). This is unlikely to occur with military or law enforcement when they are under actual attack, even with nonlethal violence arising from the passions of the moment--a thrown stone, or a shove in the chest--but also when they are vilified and met with scorn and rage. However natural and understandable that outrage may be, expressing it to the armed agents of the state will not generally do much except cause them to close ranks and jack up repression. 

Part of how to bolster such needed defections is the strategic use of humor, especially humor that mocks only the leader, not law enforcement, not military, and not his mass of supporters. This was one of the key elements of the success led by young people in Serbia to overthrow dictator Slobodan Milosevic in 2000. The components of that strategic strand of their resistance included exactly those admonitions from the core leadership of university students as they led the group Otpor!, the Serb word for resistance; they told the growing number of Otpor! chapters throughout the country to poke fun only at Milosevic, not anyone else. This helped lead to a fissure between the autocrat and those who had been loyal to him.

Activists err when they regard law enforcement as a monolithic block of oppressors; recent research drawn from interviews in Germany on police attitudes about authority, compliance, and enforcement vary considerably by individual, concluding:

"current ideas on authority are reflexive, meaning that they are not solely determined by police culture or formal rules, but are individually reconsidered, questioned and reconstructed, allowing room for maneuver and can be shaped by different contexts, internal and external to the police" (Weber & Schophaus, 2024, p. 169).

It is axiomatic in the field of Conflict Transformation that one universal for humans is that all cultures highly value being respected as an extremely important factor in the process and progress of managing conflict. When any person or any group is convinced that they are held in contempt by others, conflict with those others is much more likely to escalate and become destructive. When, on the other hand, the very same issues are at stake but a party feels respected, the chances for that conflict to be constructive, even productive, generally rise.

Some worry that mocking Trump by infantilizing him might by extension diminish the reality of the harm that Trump does by his behavior that seems stuck in the most narcissistic stage of normal human life, a period during infancy. "President Trump’s critics come by their rhetorical infantilizations quite honestly. He emotes like a child. He lashes out against resistance and criticism. He is, by many standards, mischievous and untrustworthy" (Gilbert, 2021, p. 333). Pairing characterizations of Trump's petty, grotesquely immature behavior with the disastrous results is one key to making that humor more effective.

The other danger in overuse of some targeted humor is the sense that the resisters are discourteous and petty themselves. The balance may not be easy to achieve, so many nonviolent leaders stress simple constant respect for all, even those who may not be worthy of it at times, to keep the image of the resistance spotless. 

For example, when Gandhi advised the Dalits (Untouchables) in India who wished to pray in the temple, he told them to be respectful of all, to not curse at those who oppressed them, but to show nonviolent courage under all circumstances. They did so, setting up a human blockade on the road to the Vykom temple, and did so for months, even during the monsoon season, sometimes standing resolutely in chest-deep waters. In the end, after such a display, the temple opened its doors to them, acknowledging the devotion with which the resisters kept their presence, a devotion that wore down those who were in charge of the temple (Bondurant, 1965).

With any nonviolent campaign, leadership is best done with many tested methods, including what some term adaptive management, that is, constant openness to assessment and reassessment, reset and adjustment. What worked 40 years ago may not find fertile soil so easily now. What works in Guatemala may flop in Hong Kong. Being alive to the signs and signals and being able to quickly evolve is part of the art of resistance, an art to which no strongman is impervious.

One of the many paradoxes of strategic nonviolence is that deëscalation of many situations enables the escalation of resistance. When we held an Easter day gathering at a remote thermonuclear command base in Chequamegon National Forest, there was a lot of singing and a musician named Glen Walker Johnson circulated amongst the crowd--which included armed forces personnel and law enforcement officials and officers--playing a soothing hand-held harp, smiling. Meanwhile, we had brought saplings with us and digging tools, we pickaxed holes in the gravel road right in front of the base gates, and planted trees while the military commander, local sheriff, and deputies observed. I had talked to the base commander the day before to tell him of our plans. He had said, "You will be hurt worse than you can imagine." But after digging up the road, we concluded our demonstration without any arrests and, as we were walking out, I lingered to make sure everyone was safe and found myself strolling with the base commander and the sheriff. I thanked the commander for not making good on his threat. "Y'all behaved yourselves," he said. Even though we had just done serious property damage, I knew what he meant. We showed no disrespect to anyone, we sang instead of chanted at them,[2] and when we broke bread during our ceremonies, we had offered them some. We continued our deëscalation of all who had seemed to support the evil of nuclear weapons while we continued to escalate our campaign to shut down that base. It worked. We won. The base is completely dismantled and returned to nature in the national forest.

References

Bondurant, Joan V. (1965). Conquest of violence: The Gandhian philosophy of conflict. Berkeley CA: University of California Press.

Chenoweth, Erica, & Stephan, Maria J. (2011). Why civil resistance works: The strategic logic of nonviolent conflict. New York, NY: Columbia University Press.

Gilbert, C. J. (2021). The diapered Donald: Comic infantilizations of a U.S. American president. Quarterly Journal of Speech, 107(3), 328–353. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1080/00335630.2021.1945132

Weber, M., & Schophaus, M. (2024). Personal theories of police officers about authority. International Journal of Police Science & Management, 27(2), 168-181. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1177/14613557241293588 (Original work published 2025)


[1] https://nonviolentpeaceforce.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/CLARA.pdf

[2] Music seems invitational and inclusive; chanting can seem confrontational and exclusionary. In one Peruvian study, researchers found that, "in general, exposure to music and dance improves levels of intergroup empathy, reduces social dominance, and fosters a greater positive stereotype toward the Andean social group, producing greater emotions and positive attitudes toward the artistic expressions of this group in comparison to the control group. It is concluded that music and dance, as cultural expressions, can be elements that help improve the stereotypical representation and appreciation of other groups and their members, thus establishing a path toward building a culture of peace" (Espinosa, Pacheco & Janos, 2023, p. 203).

Thursday, July 17, 2025

Countering the bizarre world of Trump: Transforming conflict from destructive to constructive and productive with Restorative Justice

Restorative justice work is an effort to help victims of crimes seek the emotional wholeness that perpetrators shattered. Part of the goal is to help a victim no longer self-assess as a victim, but as a strong player with sovereign agency. This is not the litigious search for monetary compensation, nor the prosecutorial efforts to criminally convict and punish. This is an effort to remove revenge and retribution from the struggles to hold everyone accountable.

In some ways, the initiatives that are meant to reduce the hostility and polarization must incorporate elements of restorative justice into their methods. They may do so in direct fashion or in more oblique ways. Dialog without debate--setting up identifiable oppositional sides with the idea that the dialog is meant to seek out the greatest and tiniest components of what and why people hold their views is quite direct. Hosting a monthly potluck with families is oblique. They can work together to advance a restoration of a society in which opponents in a policy discussion can do so without rancor, objectification, or enemy-making. While psychologists explain why people are actually comforted[1] in many ways by regarding others as enemies, restorative justice aspects of the work to undermine the autocratic drive that Trump embodies can reorient that need for an enemy to something else that can be seen as cruel and oppressive to a much wider range of the populace. Working with regular working people to create a social bonding over loss of Medicaid, for example, can help restore some unity that has been lost.



[1] https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-big-questions/201110/enemies-enhance-the-meaning-of-life

Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Countering the bizarre world of Trump: Transforming conflict from destructive to constructive and productive with Consensus processes

There are two related categories of consensus process: consensus decision-making and consensus organizing. The consensus organizing is named for the inclusive, non-adversarial style of community organizing, and for the drastically flattened hierarchy in any group of participants, organizers, and deciders. It seeks a very big tent of participants, driven by the parties with the greatest vulnerabilities and needs, but organized so that oppositional factions are minimized. 

Consensus organizing can affect the spectrum of allies--that is, the various parties in any civil society struggle. This work is done using organizing styles that may or may not create an unstoppable mass movement, but the tactics are meant to have a net recruiting gain and to move all sectors slightly toward the goal. Organizing without villainizing any other sectors can reduce the resolution toward combat to which the most ardent supporters of Trump respond. Organizing with hope and promise can prompt heretofore inactive but sympathetic groups to become at least slightly active. In other words, organize to attempt to move everyone even a small step toward making the goal manifest is the spectrum of allies approach and that requires the most skilled consensus organizing.

Tuesday, July 15, 2025

Countering the bizarre world of Trump: Transforming conflict from destructive to constructive and productive with Mediation/Alternative Dispute Resolution

Mohandas Gandhi is credited with being the grandfather of mediation-Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR) when he was a young lawyer. Unlike his training or normal law practice, he brought the parties together in his office one time and helped them work out a deal in which everyone won. Even though it meant he would not be profiting from trial, possible appeal, and all the expenses of doing that billable work, he wrote later that, "at last I had learnt the true profession of the law." The first law school ADR courses were developed in the late 1940s. 

Diplomats are trained in this competency and can be put to work to manage the diminution of Trump's power in many scenarios, especially when synthesized with political organizing of civil society so that, once again, Trump can be divided from his normal allies instead of maintaining his dominance over what is actually a fragile coalition. White nationalists who visualize a theocracy have been loyal to Trump, but they are a minority. Working class people who have been afraid of immigrants taking their jobs are not, in the majority, enemies of democracy who wish to replace it with Christian domination. Trump's support can be targeted with specific tactics and initiatives meant to reveal just how separable the demographic components of his support really are. 

One of the primary skills that mediators employ is "the work before the work," or assessment. Civil society organizers refer to this generally as power analysis, but mediators carry it a step further by caucusing with those who can answer this question, "What does a good outcome look like to you?" Eliciting these answers from those who are deciders or who are influencers and then doing the work that helps create potential options that can help divide Trump's groupings from each other is a clear step toward regaining leverage.

Monday, July 14, 2025

Countering the bizarre world of Trump: Transforming conflict from destructive to constructive and productive with principled negotiation

Pioneered and developed by the principals at the Harvard Negotiation Project, this is a method of negotiation that is based on four principles: Separate the people from the problem, Interests instead of positions, Agree on fair standards, and Invent options for mutual gain. This is neither adversarial nor accommodating, neither aggressive nor passive, but rather assertive and focused on creating win-win options. It includes developing a bottom line--a floor to what parties can accept (and is kept confidential by the parties)--and a best alternative to a negotiated agreement (BATNA, which is most adaptively shared in order to incentivize negotiations in good faith).

Integrating principled negotiation into talks with civil society sectors who are increasingly aghast at some or all of Trump's irrational or cruel actions can be a part of flipping the divide and conquer script that has served autocrats so well for centuries. Dividing those who have been either willingly or coerced into supporting Trump can reveal his power base to be separable instead of monolithic, which is a prerequisite to removing Trump from power.

Sunday, July 13, 2025

Countering the bizarre world of Trump: Integrating three skill set bodies of knowledge

There is a growing number of unarmed civil society responses to aggressive actors, based on three related bodies of knowledge: conflict transformation, including principled negotiation, restorative justice, mediation, and consensus process; deëscalation via a method, CLARA, that relies on listening skills and psychological awareness, as well as nonviolent coercion done in a conflict transformative fashion. How might it be possible to manage Donald Trump in some fashion using these methods?

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Excursion to the bizarre world of Trump: DINOs, RINOs, and Banana Republicans

In the House and Senate during Biden's term, a couple of the Democrats frequently voted against the rest of them, earning themselves the Democrats In Name Only appellation--DINOs. That seemed particularly descriptive, especially for West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, who voted against his party in the interests of Big Coal. 

At the same time, someone taught Donald Trump a term to use in tandem with his threat to primary any Republican who didn't vote his way all the time, Republican In Name Only--RINO. Once he added that to his stock of hackneyed slams it was a common one for him. Indeed, most of those Republicans in Congress or the Senate who have disagreed with him either retired during his first term or have announced their retirement during his second term.

Janet Yellen has inspired another term when she referred to the construction of Trump's economic ideas if he is allowed to replace Jerome Powell as the head of the Federal Reserve as those of a "banana republic economy,"[1] a country run by a dictator who let's inflation run rampant by, as she says, just "printing money" for his own use. Let's call Trump and all in his party who support his strongman takeover of the US economy Banana Republicans.



[1] https://www.newyorker.com/podcast/the-new-yorker-radio-hour/janet-yellen-on-the-danger-of-a-banana-republic-economy

Wednesday, July 09, 2025

Excursion to the bizarre world of Trump: For our consideration

What does the current DSM 5 TR say that we might ascribe as possibly something Trump suffers from (and is sharing that suffering with us all)? Most likely fall under the section Disruptive, Impulse-Control, and Conduct Disorders:

"Disruptive, impulse-control, and conduct disorders include conditions involving problems in the self-control of emotions and behaviors. While other disorders in DSM-5 may also involve problems in emotional and/or behavioral regulation, the disorders in this chapter are unique in that these problems are manifested in behaviors that violate the rights of others (e.g., aggression, destruction of property) and/or that bring the individual into significant conflict with societal norms or authority figures. The underlying causes of the problems in the self-control of emotions and behaviors can vary greatly across the disorders in this chapter and among individuals within a given diagnostic category.

The chapter includes oppositional defiant disorder, intermittent explosive disorder, conduct disorder, antisocial personality disorder (which is described in the chapter “Personality Disorders”), pyromania, kleptomania, and other specified and unspecified disruptive, impulse-control, and conduct disorders. Although all the disorders in the chapter involve problems in both emotional and behavioral regulation, the source of variation among the disorders is the relative emphasis on problems in the two types of self-control. ¼the criteria for intermittent explosive disorder focus largely on poorly controlled emotion, outbursts of anger that are disproportionate to the interpersonal or other provocation or to other psychosocial stressors.

Intermediate in impact to these two disorders is oppositional defiant disorder, in which the criteria are more evenly distributed between emotions (anger and irritation) and behaviors (argumentativeness and defiance). ¼The disruptive, impulse-control, and conduct disorders all tend to be more common in boys and men than in girls and women, although the relative degree of male predominance may differ both across disorders and within a disorder at different ages. ¼ the high level of comorbidity among these disorders and their frequent comorbidity with substance use disorders and antisocial personality disorder. However, the specific nature of the shared diathesis that constitutes the externalizing spectrum remains unknown." (Disruptive, Impulse-Control, and Conduct Disorders, 2025).

While it remains best practice to avoid attempts at professional diagnosis unless one is a professional mental health care worker with diagnostic training and has done in-person sessions with the potential subject, it is not hard to see obvious correlatives to what the DSM 5 TR says and the behaviors, utterances, and posts made by Donald J. Trump. 

Reference

Disruptive, Impulse-Control, and Conduct Disorders. (2025). Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders. https://doi.org/10.1176/appi.books.9780890425787.x15_Disruptive_Impulse_Control

Tuesday, July 08, 2025

Excursion to the bizarre world of Trump: The one-trick pony

Trump seems to have compartments into which he sorts his challenges and, in each compartment, he trots out variations of the same "solution" to all the problems in that category.

Trade? Tariffs. 

Disloyalty in the party's elected officials? Primary them.

Foreign heads of state disagreeing with him? Oh--tariffs again. Or bombs.

Opposition in the US by the other party? Threaten lawsuits or even arrest. Call them names and brand them as evil and crazed.

Accurate media revealing his faults and grifts? Again with the lawsuits and threaten arrests and loss of license as well as Hitler-like characterizing them as the enemy of the people.

Judges rule against him? Accuse them of being loony radical leftwing activist judges and just ignore them otherwise.

Trump has led a life fronted by lawyers, virtually all of them willing to break the law, lie, and use dirty tactics to get to a win for him. In the past, his corporations have had to cover those billable hours; now the US taxpayer covers the $millions paid to his many lawyers.

His lawyers scheme and manage clever cons to draw exorbitant fortunes to themselves and to Trump himself. His campaign machinery works hand and glove with those lawyers to funnel campaign donations to line Trump's pockets, including, for example, more than $107 million[1] in campaign donations straight to his lawyers to cover all the fees from his dissembling and flatly illegal actions, with the remainder of the $254.1 million contributed between January 2021-March 2024 just for Trump and his campaign. As the New York Times discovered investigating federal records: "The remarkable sum means that Mr. Trump has averaged more than $90,000 a day in legal-related costs for more than three years — none of it paid for with his own money."

Tariffs, attorneys, name-calling, and threats to primary some and arrest others. Each problem is sorted into the one-trick pony compartment where it gets that reaction. In the end, the blowback is referred to the lawyers, who, at billable rates estimated[2] at about $1200/hour, are thrilled to do his dirty work and heavy lifting, giving him the little boy freedom he loves.



[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/27/us/politics/trump-cases-legal-fund.html

[2] https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2023/08/trump-legal-fees-indictments-fundraising-2024-campaign.html

Monday, July 07, 2025

Excursion to the bizarre world of Trump: Make colonialism fashionable again

Seriously. Donald Trump floats one bizarre idea after the next, several of them clearly imperialistic. Retake Panama. Take Greenland for the US. Make Canada the 51st state and, while we're up, rename the Gulf of Mexico the Gulf of America. While this land-grabbing may be just so 19th century, his friend Putin is at war for exactly that in his fever dreams of a new Russian empire, and his other friend Netanyahu is closing in on his own irredentist vision of Greater Israel. No one outdoes Donald Trump! The subtle difference of attempting to seize land that once was part of a country and just grabbing someone else's sovereign nation may be lost on The Donald--aren't all nuances?--but we get the point; he aims to claim the best and most in all categories. As Susan Glasser pointed out[1] in The New Yorker, his post on Christmas 2024 laid out his goals and then concluded with a grand and obviously sincere Merry Christmas to the “Radical Left Lunatics” who were the losers to him in “the Greatest Election in the History of Our Country.” Oy gevalt!



[1] https://www.newyorker.com/culture/2024-in-review/the-weird-new-normal-of-donald-trump-in-2024

Saturday, July 05, 2025

Excursion to the bizarre world of Trump: Swing that pendulum back or else!

Arguably, the US has been generally improving since its founding. Slavery ended. Women got the vote. Native Americans got citizenship. Social Security and other advances under FDR and then LBJ created a social safety net. Black people earned their civil rights. LGBTQ people accrued rights. People with disabilities finally got protections and accommodations.


Boy, did that make white men angrier and angrier.


While America generally seemed to be on track toward a stronger safety net for the most vulnerable, civil rights for more classes of people, and other progressive trends, Trump happened along just as more of the world hopped on the pendulum swinging back against that, toward toxic nationalism and repression of The Other. In Hungary, the Netherlands, France, the UK, Poland, and elsewhere, reactionary politics are gaining purchase and Trump was already there, with quicker insults, harsher language, and his claim to be the only one capable of exacting the retribution that would be so cathartic to resentful whites. It was timely, and the simplistic “'Make America Great Again,' with thinly veiled racism against the browning of America" (Fitz-Gibbon, 2025, p. 171), made Trump's bizarre behavior look exactly like he meant it, retributive, a Dirty Harry for the white race unafraid to destroy whatever might elicit that desire for vengeance.

References

Fitz-Gibbon, Andrew (2025). Nonviolent perspectives: A transformative philosophy for practical peacemaking. New York, NY: Anthem Press.

Friday, July 04, 2025

Excursion to the bizarre world of Trump: Deëscalation in order to escalate the struggle

The gold standard method of deëscalation used by unarmed civilian protection teams around the world is the CLARA method. This acronym breaks down into Calm, Listen, Affirm, Respond, and Add information.

How is this germane to managing Trump, to managing his Make America Great Again MAGA followers, many of whom are violent? How can a deëscalation method be used to reduce the harms from Trump's ICE, his Homeland Security officials such as Kristi Noem, notoriously noteworthy for having shot her young dog because it didn't respond to her training as she wished?

On an individual basis, the CLARA method, while not a guarantee of success every time, is recognized by those working to protect civilians in hot conflict zones as the most likely to succeed. Just as a Gazan who wished to survive does not scream or even argue with an Israeli Defense Force member, dealing with an ICE agent in the US is best done with some finesse, not hurling epithets or even making accusations based on a legal or moral argument.

In the literature on civil resistance we find a key to dismantling Trump's bizarre grip on America; security defections based on loyalty shifts (Chenoweth & Stephan, 2011). This is unlikely to occur with military or law enforcement when they are under actual attack, even with nonlethal violence arising from the passions of the moment--a thrown stone, or a shove in the chest--but also when they are vilified and met with scorn and rage. However natural and understandable that outrage may be, expressing it to the armed agents of the state will not generally do much except cause them to close ranks and jack up repression. 

Part of how to bolster such needed defections is the strategic use of humor, especially humor that mocks only the leader, not law enforcement, not military, and not his mass of supporters. This was one of the key elements of the success led by young people in Serbia to overthrow dictator Slobodan Milosevic in 2000. The components of that strategic strand of their resistance included exactly those admonitions from the core leadership of university students as they led the group Otpor!, the Serb word for resistance; they told the growing number of Otpor! chapters throughout the country to poke fun only at Milosevic, not anyone else. This helped lead to a fissure between the autocrat and those who had been loyal to him.

Some worry that mocking Trump by infantilizing him might by extension diminish the reality of the harm that Trump does by his behavior that seems stuck in the most narcissistic stage of normal human life, a period during infancy. "President Trump’s critics come by their rhetorical infantilizations quite honestly. He emotes like a child. He lashes out against resistance and criticism. He is, by many standards, mischievous and untrustworthy" (Gilbert, 2021, p. 333). Pairing characterizations of Trump's petty, grotesquely immature behavior with the disastrous results is one key to making that humor more effective.

The other danger in overuse of some targeted humor is the sense that the resisters are discourteous and petty themselves. The balance may not be easy to achieve, so many nonviolent leaders stress simple constant respect for all, even those who may not be worthy of it at times, to keep the image of the resistance spotless.

For example, when Gandhi advised the Dalits (Untouchables) in India who wished to pray in the temple, he told them to be respectful of all, to not curse at those who oppressed them, but to show nonviolent courage under all circumstances. They did so, setting up a human blockade on the road to the Vykom temple, and did so for months, even during the monsoon season, sometimes standing resolutely in chest-deep waters. In the end, after such a display, the temple opened its doors to them, acknowledging the devotion with which the resisters kept their presence, a devotion that wore down those who were in charge of the temple (Bondurant, 1965).

With any nonviolent campaign, leadership is best done with many tested methods, including what some term adaptive management, that is, constant openness to assessment and reassessment, reset and adjustment. What worked 40 years ago may not find fertile soil so easily now. What works in Guatemala may flop in Hong Kong. Being alive to the signs and signals and being able to quickly evolve is part of the art of resistance, an art to which no strongman is impervious.

One of the many paradoxes of strategic nonviolence is that deëscalation of many situations enables the escalation of resistance. When we held an Easter day gathering at a remote thermonuclear command base in Chequamegon National Forest, there was a lot of singing and a musician named Glen Walker Johnson circulated amongst the crowd playing a soothing hand-held harp, smiling. Meanwhile, we had brought saplings with us and digging tools, we pickaxed holes in the gravel road right in front of the base gates, and planted trees while the local sheriff and deputies observed. I had talked to the base commander the day before to tell him of our plans. He had said, "You will be hurt worse than you can imagine." But after digging up the road, we concluded our demonstration without any arrests and, as we were walking out, I lingered to make sure everyone was safe and found myself strolling with the base commander and the sheriff. I thanked the commander for not making good on his threat. "Y'all behaved yourselves," he said. Even though we had just done serious property damage, I knew what he meant. We showed no disrespect to anyone, we sang instead of chanted at them, and when we broke bread during our ceremonies, we had offered them some. We continued our deëscalation of all who had seemed to support the evil of nuclear weapons while we continued to escalate our campaign to shut down that base. It worked. We won. The base is completely dismantled and returned to nature in the national forest.

References

Bondurant, Joan V. (1965). Conquest of violence: The Gandhian philosophy of conflict. Berkeley CA: University of California Press.

Chenoweth, Erica, & Stephan, Maria J. (2011). Why civil resistance works: The strategic logic of nonviolent conflict. New York, NY: Columbia University Press.

Gilbert, C. J. (2021). The diapered Donald: Comic infantilizations of a U.S. American president. Quarterly Journal of Speech, 107(3), 328–353. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1080/00335630.2021.1945132

Sombatpoonsiri, Janjira (2015). Humor and nonviolent struggle in Serbia. Syracuse, NY: Syracuse University Press. 

Thursday, July 03, 2025

Excursion to the bizarre world of Trump: He's a monster but he's our monster

In one study of voter perception of the personality traits of presidential candidates--Trump and Biden--Democrats saw some narcissism and Machiavellian traits in Biden, but much greater levels of both in Trump, along with a clear predominance of sadism in Trump, none of that in Biden. Republicans, on the other hand, reported the narcissism and Machiavellian traits as about equal in both and had little concern over the question of sadism (Prusik, 2025). Other studies[1] have also looked at various voter emotions, including some that correlated men with weak self-image attracted to aggressive, dominating, authoritarian candidates, identifying Trump as such.

Indeed, sadism seems to be political theater[2] to Trump, showing his base that he is indeed their retribution, with tendencies toward both ethnic cleansing (e.g., move as many Hispanics as possible out of the US, utilizing false labeling of them as violent criminals) and genocide (support for the IDF slaughtering Gazan civilians). Firing or demoting most high-ranking women in the military seemed to be red meat to his MAGA base, possibly many of whom seemed to be resentful that a big strong man isn't necessarily the best leadership of a highly technical, complex organization tasked with keeping the US secure. That simplistic identification--I'm big and strong and I should have been promoted to lead when I was in the army--could help explain Trump's appeal and the positive feedback loop of support for increasingly brutal and unfair actions by Trump and by his handpicked hatchet actors such as Pete Hegseth (the one firing women from commands in the Pentagon and even ordering DoD libraries stripped of what he determines to be DEI content).

References

Prusik, M. (2025). Dark tetrad traits in politicians and voter behavior: Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election. Journal of Research in Personality, 115, N.PAG. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.pdx.edu/10.1016/j.jrp.2024.104568



[1] https://www.psypost.org/the-psychological-puzzle-of-donald-trump-eye-opening-findings-from-20-studies/

[2] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/feb/06/trump-sadism-judith-butler